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economy

175 markets

Fed Decision in October?

550+ bps decrease0%
225 bps decrease1%
3 more
$2.4M Vol.•Oct 28, 2026
Economy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

99%
$338.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 9, 2026

Fed rate hike by...?

September Meeting100%
October Meeting50%
$305.2K Vol.•Oct 29, 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)96%
1 (25 bps)2%
11 more
$254.0K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

550+ bps decrease0%
225 bps decrease0%
3 more
$152.9K Vol.•Sep 18, 2026

Bank of England decision in September?

50+ bps decrease0%
25 bps decrease0%
3 more
$124.6K Vol.•Sep 17, 2026

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease1%
25 bps decrease2%
3 more
$100.7K Vol.•Dec 9, 2026

Fed rate cut by...?

January 2027 Meeting14%
March 2027 Meeting29%
5 more
$95.1K Vol.•Jan 8, 2027

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA71%
Microsoft0%
6 more
$90.4K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Business

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

10%
$85.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Business

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

18%
$52.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

11 (25 bps)19%
22 (50 bps)66%
3 more
$51.0K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Pause–Pause–Pause0%
Pause–Pause–Cut0%
3 more
$43.0K Vol.•Oct 28, 2026

Largest Company end of September?

Alphabet0%
Tesla0%
7 more
$38.7K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.2%64%
5.5%22%
3 more
$34.3K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Economy

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

2%
$33.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 29, 2027
Economy

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%
$33.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Business

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

12%
$23.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

18%
$21.6K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

<-1.0%1%
-0.9 – -0.5%0%
7 more
$20.3K Vol.•Jan 10, 2027

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike39%
Hike–Pause–Pause17%
3 more
$19.6K Vol.•Dec 9, 2026
Business

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

81%
$18.7K Vol.•Ends Dec 9, 2026
Economy

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

4%
$18.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

3%
$18.3K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Business

US recession by end of 2026?

11%
$16.9K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

<500B3%
500–600B5%
6 more
$16.9K Vol.•Feb 28, 2027
Business

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

12%
$16.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Economy

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

5%
$16.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

What will be the next Fed rate change?

HHike100%
CCut0%
$12.6K Vol.•Dec 31, 2028
Economy

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

43%
$12.3K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%
$12.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1.2m60%
1.3m19%
4 more
$11.1K Vol.•Feb 28, 2027
Business

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

9%
$10.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Fed Decision in January?

50+ bps decrease4%
25 bps decrease10%
3 more
$10.0K Vol.•Jan 27, 2027

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

550+ bps decrease0%
225 bps decrease0%
3 more
$10.0K Vol.•Oct 30, 2026
World

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

7%
$9.6K Vol.•Ends Feb 15, 2027
Economy

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

4%
$8.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%8%
5.5%7%
3 more
$8.1K Vol.•Feb 1, 2027
Economy

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%
$8.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

September Inflation US - Annual

≤2.9%1%
3.0%2%
10 more
$7.7K Vol.•Oct 15, 2026

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?

BBelow 4.95%2%
BBelow 5.00%3%
7 more
$6.5K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0%0%
1.0–1.4%3%
7 more
$6.4K Vol.•Jan 20, 2027

2026 World GDP Growth

≤2.9%17%
3.0%30%
7 more
$6.3K Vol.•Jan 15, 2027

People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

Increase0%
No Change96%
1 more
$6.1K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0%3%
↑ 5.5%2%
18 more
$6.0K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

550+ bps decrease0%
225 bps decrease0%
3 more
$6.0K Vol.•Oct 28, 2026

Bank of Russia decision in October?

Decrease28%
No Change67%
1 more
$6.0K Vol.•Oct 23, 2026

USD x Iranian rials End of September?

<1.7M1%
1.7-1.8M1%
5 more
$5.9K Vol.•Sep 30, 2026