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politics

2461 markets

Crypto

$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?

50%
$1.7M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)75%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%
6 more
$1.3M Vol.•Sep 20, 2026

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

September 301%
December 319%
$1.3M Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

2%
$1.2M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%
$1.1M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

US strike on Mexico by...?

8%
$732.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Crypto

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

9%
$639.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

6%
$638.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?

160-1791%
180-19943%
16 more
$574.5K Vol.•Sep 18, 2026
World

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

7%
$548.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

3%
$538.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

US military draft authorized in 2026?

3%
$526.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom16%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
49 more
$447.6K Vol.•Nov 7, 2028
World

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

3%
$444.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will any country leave NATO by...?

3%
$400.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%
$394.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas0%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva45%
17 more
$355.1K Vol.•Oct 4, 2026

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Gavin Newsom8%
50 more
$321.6K Vol.•Nov 7, 2028

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen36%
Jordan Bardella2%
39 more
$310.5K Vol.•Apr 30, 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

September 301%
December 314%
$298.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3160%
September 3013%
2 more
$296.4K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

7%
$277.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

December 31, 202613%
March 31, 202728%
$274.3K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027
World

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%
$272.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?

8%
$256.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

1%
$254.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Ukraine election held by...?

3%
$234.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

12%
$231.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

2%
$222.2K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

3%
$219.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will $LAPTOP flip $TRUMP by ___?

December 31, 2026100%
June 30, 2027100%
1 more
$213.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028
World

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

5%
$212.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%
$191.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep60%
D Senate, R House1%
3 more
$183.5K Vol.•Nov 3, 2026
World

EU dissolves before 2027?

2%
$180.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$179.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 303%
December 3121%
2 more
$175.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

3%
$168.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
$168.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

88%
$168.0K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

4%
$166.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu31%
Naftali Bennett9%
17 more
$165.6K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
World

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

8%
$163.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%
$159.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

18%
$158.7K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

6%
$157.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

6%
$153.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%
$152.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027