This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
24H VOLUME
$1.1K
LIQUIDITY
$1.1K
BALANCE
$0
Comments (20)
whumpa Aug 7
add 4.5% please
LA17 Jul 2
I agree with you. I think markets were overreacting to last month's report. It was mostly jobs from the world cup, as seen with hospitality jobs falling in this recent report
ThePolyAnalytics Jul 2
Really bad job reports. It went down because people stopped trying to find a job. "The unemployment rate dropped to 4.2% largely due to a slump in the labor force participation rate, which fell 0.3 percentage points to 61.5% - the lowest since March 2021."
LA17 Jul 2
down to 4.2%
ThePolyAnalytics Jun 29
This week is major. Will we finally get the real numbers.
ThePolyAnalytics Jun 27
Does anyone know what moved this market? No news - it's around limited Mythos release time but nothing else..
whumpa Jun 26
what is happening
Milin-dc May 31
6% is higher tha 5.5% 🤣
emrico Mar 7
told you guys hahaha
emrico Mar 6
picked +5 +5,5 +6
emrico Mar 6
feb release was 4,4. march will come 4,5 or more. easy. recession
emrico Feb 28
not much difference between 6 and 7 in terms of odds.
emrico Feb 28
i'm investing, not betting. already placed +5,5, +6.
NoSteinNoGate Feb 26
Bet on 7% then
emrico Feb 23
my prediction: march release 4.5 april release 4.7 may release 5.0 june release 5.4 july release 5.7 august release 5.9 september release 6.6 october release 7.4 november release 7.7 december release 8.2
emrico Feb 23
%5,5 %26 is a gift.
BillyBoy94 Feb 20
end date is wrong
emrico Feb 18
%6 is easy
DYNAMOXDD Jan 7
6% soon
Obamnna Jan 2
5.0% train cant be stopped
