On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain. (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/diverted-flydubai-flight-israel-was-not-hijacking-incident-israeli-prime-2026-09-30/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli national government, or an authorized representative of the Israeli national government, publicly announces that Iran or its affiliated groups deliberately caused this incident, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public announcement refers to an on-the-record statement issued by the Israeli national government or by its authorized representatives acting in an official capacity on behalf of the Israeli national government. A statement or press release issued by the Israeli national government or any of its agencies will qualify. A Prime Minister or Cabinet Minister’s public statements will always be considered to be issued on-the-record in a capacity representing the Israeli national government for purposes of this market. A statement from a lawmaker or other government official speaking in their own capacity or on behalf of a party not in government will not alone qualify. For purposes of this market, an affiliated group of Iran is: any organization directly controlled by Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Houthis ("Ansar Allah"), Kata'ib Hezbollah, Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq, Badr Organization, and Harakat al-Nujaba. An unlisted group will only qualify if the Israeli claim itself, or accompanying statements or releases, specifies that the group is a proxy of or otherwise is controlled or directed by Iran. A general statement that it was conducted by an Iranian proxy will also qualify, even if no group is named. Such a statement will be considered to claim that Iran or its affiliated groups deliberately caused the incident if it explicitly claims that Iran or an affiliated group ordered, carried out, planned, or otherwise directly aided or coordinated the incident. Statements that attribute only inspiration or ideological influence (e.g., "this would not have happened if Iran didn't radicalize terrorists," "the co-pilot was influenced by Hamas' ideas") will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement has been made, no subsequent walkback or retraction will be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli national government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Comments (34)
Kati.shi Oct 12
@MOSSADil: BREAKING: IRAN LINK EMERGES IN FLYDUBAI INVESTIGATION According to information emerging from the Emirati interrogation, investigators have uncovered an alleged direct link between the flydubai co-pilot and Iranian handlers. If true, full justification for resumption of war with REGIME CHANGE as its main objective.
12beduins Oct 11
Cmon Bibi we know your itching to to it!
dagastani Oct 10
"The suspect claims he acted alone, but authorities are investigating possible accomplices and terrorist links." getting closer
KILLUMINAT1 Oct 9
Yes?
J4RL3M Oct 7
Bibi Netanyahu blame Iran for doing it
BigAII Oct 7
i smell bear
Quilty Oct 5
Trump: I think Iran is responsible for the attempted attack on the FlyDubai flight.
Darkpsico- Oct 5
ok
Car Oct 5
okay!
Kawabanga25 Oct 5
Easy money
iNeedMoreDollars Oct 5
Israeli Channel 12: A Mossad representative told Cabinet ministers last night that the flydubai copilot had made several brief visits in recent years to countries hostile to Israel, including “enemy states."
pieped Oct 4
nop
pink.impala Oct 4
the greatest trick they pulled was to change the meaning of words
pink.impala Oct 3
i think you make low to 🐄 then!
pink.impala Oct 3
im told ya im not into 🐐 man!
MEPP Oct 3
nop
pink.impala Oct 2
all they do is lie SMH
yungsoleimani Oct 2
buy more yes then
0x157748c373f18167cC7c4e7B4383612C48f08091-1774613562091 Oct 2
Who did the terror attack? Russia or japan? I live in Israel and all the media is pointing towards one country but ok
yungsoleimani Oct 2
have u read the market title how is terror attack relevant
0x157748c373f18167cC7c4e7B4383612C48f08091-1774613562091 Oct 2
UAE said it was a terror attack it is a matter of time till israel says so lol
quadnicks Oct 1
huh
pink.impala Oct 1
israelitards got rabies 4 real, biggest terrorists but always accusing Iran #ProjectionAtItsFinest
pink.impala Oct 1
Remember when they found secret documents in Gaza proving that Iran was behind Oct 7
pink.impala Oct 1
They literally accuse Iran of everything
Arman2 Oct 1
dw guys its not iran cuz if it was the iranians the operation would be successful
conormurphy Oct 1
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli national government, or an authorized representative of the Israeli national government, publicly announces that Iran or its affiliated groups deliberately caused this incident
pilipro3 Oct 1
Nop
Relaccsed Oct 1
noooo
yungsoleimani Oct 1
I MISCLICKED ASWELL NOOOOOO
Relaccsed Oct 1
oops misclikc
yungsoleimani Oct 1
Hahahahahahahahaha
Channel4 Oct 1
🇮🇱⚡️ — An Israeli source at i24NEWS: "Tonight, the working assumption remains unchanged - 'the co-pilot acted as a 'lone wolf' and not on behalf of any other entity.' However, the investigation is still ongoing."
0x157748c373f18167cC7c4e7B4383612C48f08091-1774613562091 Oct 1
Trump just said that the attacker is related to Iran so it is matter of time till israel say
